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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32290102040506070802739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#12
14.20.5
15.815.3
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 1.7
7716
#21
12.50.4
11.011.4
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Second
6190
#40
6.00.5
7.16.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 6.5
12.50.4
9.810.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
Third
4758
#38
5.10.5
5.95.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
blue by 2.8
7856
#35
7.80.4
5.96.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed