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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522104060801001204351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#10
23.70.2
18.418.2
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
red by 10.0
13.70.5
9.810.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Second
8352
#26
13.70.2
12.512.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 5.0
4390
#32
8.60.5
5.86.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Third
7224
#30
12.40.2
12.812.6
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
red by 6.9
4854
#20
5.50.5
7.27.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned