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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14430206080100954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5214
#39
7.70.5
8.17.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 10.3
6152
#13
17.90.9
16.617.5
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Second
8362
#29
5.00.5
4.54.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 8.7
7692
#28
13.70.9
13.614.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Third
7865
#25
4.60.5
3.93.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 2.5
5695
#17
7.10.9
5.05.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed