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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35230103040506070805019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#11
17.91.2
13.614.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 7.1
4680
#18
10.80.2
9.28.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Second
4851
#24
11.71.2
8.69.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
red by 5.9
6096
#19
5.70.2
5.75.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Third
2591
#23
9.11.2
8.09.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
red by 3.4
5619
#33
5.60.2
7.77.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed