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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332301040506070804818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.21.1
11.813.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 7.7
8899
#27
8.40.2
6.36.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Second
13.71.1
10.411.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 6.0
5214
#39
7.70.2
7.67.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Third
6190
#40
6.01.1
6.67.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
red by 0.5
4854
#20
5.50.2
7.87.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed