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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634120801008841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.92.3
25.427.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
red by 14.0
6152
#13
17.90.1
17.918.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Second
4405
#10
23.72.3
18.921.1
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
red by 5.8
5901
#11
17.90.1
14.314.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Third
12.52.3
9.912.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
red by 6.5
6190
#40
6.00.1
7.77.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed