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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37380501001502004142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7692
#28
13.70.5
14.014.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 10.2
123
#4
23.80.2
23.924.1
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Second
2673
#22
13.50.5
9.910.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
red by 7.7
6096
#19
5.70.2
5.05.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Third
4851
#24
11.70.5
9.710.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
red by 6.6
4758
#38
5.10.2
5.75.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed