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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192901040506070802227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9744
#34
9.40.2
8.68.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.9
blue by 4.3
8352
#26
13.70.1
11.912.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Second
8899
#27
8.40.2
6.46.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
red by 0.6
7856
#35
7.80.1
7.17.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Third
7865
#25
4.60.2
3.73.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 2.5
5695
#17
7.10.1
6.36.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed