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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422402060804727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.1
13.213.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 2.5
13.70.2
11.511.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Second
15.10.1
14.014.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.6
red by 7.4
5214
#39
7.70.2
7.37.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Third
4680
#18
10.80.1
9.09.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
red by 4.1
5532
#37
6.60.2
5.15.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed