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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1941060801671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4390
#32
8.60.2
6.15.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
blue by 5.6
8280
#12
14.20.6
15.416.0
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Second
5642
#15
6.00.2
8.07.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 7.8
3302
#31
13.80.6
10.711.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
9727
#36
3.90.2
5.75.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.2
blue by 5.2
2591
#23
9.10.6
8.59.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned