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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28550204060801003579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#14
14.80.6
14.213.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
blue by 14.9
862
#1
29.71.8
24.326.1
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
Second
5619
#33
5.60.6
6.76.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 14.4
20.11.8
19.221.0
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Third
4854
#20
5.50.6
7.57.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
red by 0.6
8362
#29
5.01.8
3.35.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed