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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613402040801006447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#4
23.80.2
24.123.9
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 0.1
4405
#10
23.70.9
21.122.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
Second
6152
#13
17.90.2
18.017.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 10.1
7856
#35
7.80.9
7.28.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Third
4851
#24
11.70.2
10.210.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
red by 5.0
5532
#37
6.60.9
5.36.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed