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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332401020405060705010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#12
14.20.2
16.016.2
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 5.2
2591
#23
9.10.8
9.18.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Second
4390
#32
8.60.2
5.86.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
red by 1.0
5214
#39
7.70.8
7.56.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Third
8899
#27
8.40.2
6.76.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
red by 3.4
4758
#38
5.10.8
5.95.1
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed