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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52300204060801005024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.4
27.728.0
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
red by 18.1
3302
#31
13.80.5
11.410.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Second
2673
#22
13.50.4
10.410.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
red by 0.9
12.50.5
12.211.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
Third
5695
#17
7.10.4
6.46.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
red by 1.5
5619
#33
5.60.5
6.25.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed