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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405002060801004254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.3
21.021.3
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
blue by 9.7
862
#1
29.70.0
26.126.1
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
Second
7224
#30
12.40.3
12.612.9
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
red by 1.5
10.90.0
10.810.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End1.6
Third
7865
#25
4.60.3
3.94.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 0.9
4854
#20
5.50.0
7.07.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned