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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273801020506070801538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7716
#21
12.50.7
12.812.1
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 3.6
16.20.2
13.313.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Second
6190
#40
6.00.7
7.87.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 7.7
8352
#26
13.70.2
12.012.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
8362
#29
5.00.7
5.14.4
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 1.1
5642
#15
6.00.2
7.77.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed