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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49330204060804243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#4
23.80.2
23.923.7
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 7.6
16.20.7
13.514.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Second
3302
#31
13.80.2
10.910.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 1.3
12.50.7
11.612.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
Third
5642
#15
6.00.2
7.97.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 2.4
8899
#27
8.40.7
6.87.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed