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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44310102040506070805538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
29.70.4
26.827.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
red by 16.0
8352
#26
13.70.2
11.712.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Second
4390
#32
8.60.4
7.27.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
blue by 4.8
2673
#22
13.50.2
11.711.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Third
4758
#38
5.10.4
4.44.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
blue by 0.9
6190
#40
6.00.2
6.26.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed