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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32341020304050604642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.70.1
13.213.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 1.4
15.10.8
13.914.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.6
Second
4851
#24
11.70.1
11.912.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 2.1
3302
#31
13.80.8
11.812.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
7865
#25
4.60.1
4.44.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 0.3
8362
#29
5.00.8
4.55.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed