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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272810152025303540453731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3632
#16
12.30.2
12.612.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 5.6
5901
#11
17.90.4
15.015.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Second
5695
#17
7.10.2
6.96.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
red by 0.5
5532
#37
6.60.4
5.45.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Third
5619
#33
5.60.2
5.35.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
red by 0.1
4854
#20
5.50.4
5.05.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed