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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28550204060801003954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7716
#21
12.50.3
12.713.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 19.4
31.90.5
28.028.5
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
Second
9744
#34
9.40.3
9.39.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.9
blue by 5.5
4768
#14
14.80.5
13.113.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Third
5214
#39
7.70.3
6.87.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
red by 2.0
6096
#19
5.70.5
5.45.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed