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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44270204060804222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#10
23.70.3
22.622.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
red by 12.8
10.91.1
11.410.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End1.6
Second
2673
#22
13.50.3
11.411.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
red by 7.4
5642
#15
6.01.1
7.86.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Third
9727
#36
3.90.3
4.14.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.2
blue by 2.1
6190
#40
6.01.1
7.26.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed