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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3757020801005357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.21.2
14.215.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 13.5
862
#1
29.70.5
26.326.8
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
Second
3302
#31
13.81.2
10.711.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 1.4
7224
#30
12.40.5
12.613.1
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Third
4851
#24
11.71.2
10.811.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
red by 0.9
4680
#18
10.80.5
10.511.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed