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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48260204060801008335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.8
20.521.3
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 7.8
3632
#16
12.30.6
12.012.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Second
13.70.8
12.313.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 4.6
2591
#23
9.10.6
7.68.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
7856
#35
7.80.8
7.88.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 0.8
4390
#32
8.60.6
6.77.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed