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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39502060801002258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#12
14.21.3
15.314.0
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 3.7
6152
#13
17.90.6
18.419.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Second
7692
#28
13.71.3
14.813.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 1.4
15.10.6
13.313.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.6
Third
4854
#20
5.51.3
6.35.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 7.0
12.50.6
12.413.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed