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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2142060802357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8352
#26
13.70.4
12.111.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 10.1
123
#4
23.80.3
23.724.0
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Second
4758
#38
5.10.4
4.84.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
blue by 3.4
8899
#27
8.40.3
7.67.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Third
7865
#25
4.60.4
4.74.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 0.3
8362
#29
5.00.3
4.24.5
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned