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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932102040503945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#14
14.80.2
13.013.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
red by 3.2
4851
#24
11.70.8
10.010.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Second
5214
#39
7.70.2
6.76.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 3.1
4680
#18
10.80.8
9.710.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Third
6190
#40
6.00.2
7.17.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 3.3
9744
#34
9.40.8
8.69.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed