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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35520204060801004350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2673
#22
13.50.6
10.811.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 16.3
862
#1
29.70.2
26.126.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
Second
7716
#21
12.50.6
12.112.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 1.1
13.70.2
12.112.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
10.90.6
10.811.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End1.6
red by 3.8
5695
#17
7.10.2
6.76.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed