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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32670204060801001203365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7224
#30
12.40.4
12.912.6
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 19.5
31.90.1
28.028.0
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
Second
3632
#16
12.30.4
12.312.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 2.8
15.10.1
13.413.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.6
Third
7856
#35
7.80.4
8.17.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 5.8
7692
#28
13.70.1
14.914.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned