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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3247204060804759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7716
#21
12.50.0
13.013.1
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 11.2
4405
#10
23.71.2
22.824.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
Second
4680
#18
10.80.0
11.011.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
red by 1.4
9744
#34
9.41.2
9.710.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.9
Third
5695
#17
7.10.0
6.86.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
blue by 2.0
2591
#23
9.11.2
8.29.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed