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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373001020506070803040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7692
#28
13.70.2
13.513.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 1.2
4768
#14
14.80.1
13.613.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Second
7224
#30
12.40.2
13.112.9
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
red by 4.0
8899
#27
8.40.1
7.98.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Third
5532
#37
6.60.2
5.75.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
red by 0.6
5642
#15
6.00.1
6.76.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed