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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686340801005173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#4
23.80.6
24.023.4
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End2.3
blue by 8.1
31.91.0
28.529.5
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
Second
20.10.6
21.320.6
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 2.1
5901
#11
17.91.0
15.416.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Third
16.20.6
15.414.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 2.0
8280
#12
14.21.0
14.015.0
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed