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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502204060805220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#13
17.90.4
19.019.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 6.3
4851
#24
11.70.4
12.011.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Second
3632
#16
12.30.4
12.412.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 6.3
6190
#40
6.00.4
6.46.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Third
10.90.4
10.310.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End1.6
red by 5.3
5619
#33
5.60.4
5.14.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed