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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332301040506070802339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#18
10.80.4
11.010.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
blue by 2.7
2673
#22
13.50.1
11.912.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Second
2591
#23
9.10.4
9.49.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
red by 3.5
4854
#20
5.50.1
5.45.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Third
7856
#35
7.80.4
8.27.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 3.2
7865
#25
4.60.1
4.54.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned