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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2938010205060705058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.2
14.714.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.6
red by 0.3
4768
#14
14.81.0
13.714.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Second
5695
#17
7.10.2
6.87.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
blue by 6.6
8352
#26
13.71.0
12.012.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
6096
#19
5.70.2
5.55.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 2.9
4390
#32
8.61.0
7.78.6
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsMissed