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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26660204060801001202186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7692
#28
13.70.5
13.412.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 10.1
4405
#10
23.70.7
24.024.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
Second
9744
#34
9.40.5
10.910.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.9
blue by 8.6
5901
#11
17.90.7
16.417.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Third
9727
#36
3.90.5
4.43.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.2
blue by 12.3
16.20.7
14.715.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed