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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4643203040506070804843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.5
20.621.1
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 2.1
6152
#13
17.90.7
19.418.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Second
3302
#31
13.80.5
12.613.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 1.3
7716
#21
12.50.7
13.112.3
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
8899
#27
8.40.5
8.08.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
red by 2.4
5642
#15
6.00.7
6.86.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned