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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions753102040601001208028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.0
29.530.5
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
red by 17.7
8280
#12
14.20.4
15.014.6
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Second
862
#1
29.71.0
27.328.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
red by 16.0
13.70.4
13.312.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
5532
#37
6.61.0
5.66.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
red by 1.7
8362
#29
5.00.4
5.35.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed