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Red47
835211.3
609915.2
54787.9
Blue20
25918.5
722411.5
92557.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303020253540454720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#17
15.22.2
9.711.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.6
red by 3.7
7224
#18
11.50.8
13.012.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Second
11.32.2
10.212.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 2.9
2591
#11
8.50.8
6.45.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Third
5478
#23
7.91.3
7.38.6
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End0.9
red by 0.8
9255
#33
7.00.5
8.17.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed