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Red45
262021.8
267310.1
54675.6
Blue11
55323.5
71457.2
47586.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361804060804511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.0
16.117.1
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 14.6
7145
#25
7.22.0
5.53.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Second
2673
#24
10.11.6
7.89.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End2.0
red by 3.4
4758
#36
6.82.0
6.95.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Third
5467
#35
5.61.6
6.48.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End0.3
red by 2.0
5532
#31
3.52.0
6.34.3
Auto0.9
Teleop2.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed