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Red42
170125.5
353924.4
476810.2
Blue8
96515.4
51976.7
78565.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54200406080428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.4
18.618.2
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End1.6
red by 18.8
5197
#34
6.71.8
9.57.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Second
3539
#12
24.40.7
18.617.8
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 18.9
9651
#26
5.41.8
8.56.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Third
4768
#19
10.20.7
7.56.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End1.6
red by 5.0
7856
#13
5.11.8
4.22.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed