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Red64
57566.9
36196.0
776936.1
Blue43
590111.7
719611.8
81522.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43463540455055606443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.11.0
27.728.6
Auto12.9
Teleop21.3
End2.0
red by 13.9
815
#2
22.20.2
19.018.7
Auto9.7
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Second
5756
#16
6.91.6
7.18.7
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 5.0
7196
#29
11.80.4
9.28.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End0.4
Third
3619
#37
6.01.6
4.86.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 5.7
5901
#21
11.70.4
13.413.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed