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Red24
48519.4
50652.9
92557.0
Blue15
722411.5
48383.4
96189.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2231010405060702415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4851
#20
9.41.2
6.04.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 2.0
7224
#18
11.51.3
12.210.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Second
9255
#33
7.00.7
7.66.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 2.6
9618
#38
9.61.3
6.65.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Third
5065
#15
2.91.2
7.56.3
Auto0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 0.5
4838
#32
3.41.3
7.96.6
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed