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Red48
51976.7
60964.6
262021.8
Blue25
36329.1
609915.2
78653.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362502060801004825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.5
17.117.6
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 6.6
6099
#17
15.20.5
11.911.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Second
5197
#34
6.70.8
7.78.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 2.3
3632
#27
9.10.5
7.26.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End0.6
Third
6096
#22
4.60.8
6.16.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.5
red by 0.8
7865
#39
3.80.5
5.14.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed