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Red22
96189.6
96515.4
590111.7
Blue25
48519.4
54675.6
719611.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29200104050602225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#21
11.70.6
13.012.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
blue by 0.1
7196
#29
11.80.6
8.89.5
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End0.4
Second
9618
#38
9.60.6
5.34.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 0.2
4851
#20
9.40.6
4.85.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Third
9651
#26
5.40.6
6.76.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 0.2
5467
#35
5.60.6
5.86.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed