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Red62
776936.1
78565.1
81522.2
Blue3
43906.9
97514.7
55323.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62100204080100623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.8
28.629.5
Auto12.9
Teleop21.3
End2.0
red by 29.2
4390
#30
6.91.4
8.97.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Second
815
#2
22.20.8
18.719.6
Auto9.7
Teleop10.0
End2.5
red by 17.5
9751
#28
4.71.4
4.22.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Third
7856
#13
5.11.4
2.43.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
red by 1.6
5532
#31
3.51.4
2.10.8
Auto0.9
Teleop2.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed