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Red26
835211.3
96189.6
25918.5
Blue16
78653.8
60964.6
60299.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2820010405060702616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.30.2
13.413.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 1.4
6029
#14
9.90.2
8.88.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.9
Second
9618
#38
9.60.2
4.74.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 5.0
6096
#22
4.60.3
6.36.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.5
Third
2591
#11
8.50.2
6.16.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
red by 4.7
7865
#39
3.80.3
3.83.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed