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Red51
717429.6
267310.1
97514.7
Blue36
828012.7
170125.5
20484.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060805136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.9
26.627.5
Auto10.9
Teleop16.0
End2.7
red by 4.1
25.50.5
18.718.2
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End1.6
Second
2673
#24
10.11.5
8.49.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 2.5
12.70.8
8.37.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Third
9751
#28
4.71.5
2.94.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End1.2
red by 0.7
2048
#40
4.00.8
6.55.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed