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Red25
590111.7
722411.5
50652.9
Blue23
36196.0
476810.2
51976.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3521010304050602523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#21
11.70.5
12.511.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
red by 1.5
4768
#19
10.20.3
6.66.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Second
7224
#18
11.50.5
11.010.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.8
red by 4.7
5197
#34
6.70.3
7.78.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Third
5065
#15
2.90.5
6.25.7
Auto0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 3.1
3619
#37
6.00.3
6.26.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed