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Red13
57566.9
78653.8
54675.6
Blue36
12321.7
43906.9
25918.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213401030405060701336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5756
#16
6.91.1
9.98.8
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 14.8
123
#7
21.70.7
16.817.5
Auto10.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
5467
#35
5.61.1
7.56.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 2.9
2591
#11
8.50.7
6.37.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Third
7865
#39
3.81.1
3.52.4
Auto1.6
Teleop1.9
End0.3
blue by 3.1
4390
#30
6.90.7
6.57.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed